Product Validation

Building is Easy Now. That's Why Validation Matters More Than Ever.

AI coding tools make building trivial. But users are drowning in products. The bottleneck shifted from 'can I build it?' to 'should I build it?' Here's why validation matters more than ever.

Doug
7 min read
#product validation
#ai coding tools
#product market fit
#jobs to be done
#indie hacking

Six months ago, building a SaaS MVP took weeks. Today, with Claude Code and Cursor, you can build the same thing in hours.

This should be a golden age for indie builders. But here's the paradox: Building has never been easier. And launching a successful product has never been harder.

Why? Because everyone can build now. The barrier to entry evaporated. The result isn't fewer failed products—it's exponentially more noise.

From Months to Hours

2020: Build MVP in 2-3 months. Need a technical co-founder or $50K for contractors.

2023: Build MVP in 2-3 weeks with no-code tools.

2025: Build MVP in 2-3 days with Claude Code, Cursor, v0.

I've watched people with zero coding experience build functional apps in hours. User auth, database, real-time updates, polished UI. Ten years ago, that would've taken a team of engineers two months.

The Proliferation Problem

When building is easy, everyone builds. ProductHunt used to launch ~50 products per day. Today? Over 200.

Most are well-built. Clean code. Good UX. They look professional. And almost all of them get zero users.

Not because they're poorly built. Because they're solving problems nobody has.

Drowning in Solutions

Users searching for "task management app" find:

  • 200+ options on ProductHunt
  • 500+ Chrome extensions
  • 1,000+ apps in the App Store
  • Hundreds of indie projects on Twitter

Most look good. Modern design. Fast. AI-powered. How do they choose?

They don't. They stick with what they have. Or try three, get overwhelmed, and give up.

This is the reality your product enters—not a market starved for solutions, but one drowning in them.

The Shift Nobody Talks About

The old bottleneck: "Can I build this?"

The new bottleneck: "Should I build this?"

Building is no longer the constraint. Understanding problems is. And AI made building easier but understanding problems harder—because now you can ship so fast, the temptation to skip validation is overwhelming.

The Cart Before the Horse

Here's what I've seen across startups and enterprise: the fastest path to failure is building something nobody needs. Whether you're at a 5-person startup or a Fortune 500, the pattern is the same.

With AI tools, this trap is more seductive than ever. You get an idea. You prompt Claude Code. Hours later, it's live. You ship it. Get some initial interest. And then... crickets.

The problem isn't the code. It's that you built a solution before understanding the problem.

What Actually Cuts Through

Users don't need more products. They need solutions to genuine problems. Genuine problems have specific characteristics:

1. Painful Enough to Motivate Change

Not genuine: "It's kind of annoying to manually post to Twitter"

Genuine: "I'm spending $5,000/month on contractors doing manual work"

The difference: severity. Real problems cost real money, time, or dignity.

2. Frequent Enough to Matter

Not genuine: "Once last year I had trouble with..."

Genuine: "Every single day I waste 2 hours on..."

The difference: frequency. Real problems happen often enough to demand attention.

3. Current Solutions Are Clearly Insufficient

Not genuine: "Existing tools work fine, but yours has a nicer UI"

Genuine: "I've tried five different tools, none of them work"

The difference: desperation. Real problems drive people to extreme measures.

The Framework: Jobs to Be Done

The methodology that cuts through the noise is Jobs to Be Done (JTBD). The core insight: People don't buy products. They hire products to make progress.

Four forces determine if they'll hire you:

PUSH (Pain of Current State): How much does their current situation suck?

  • Weak: "It's fine, a bit annoying"
  • Strong: "This is costing me $10K/month"

PULL (Attraction to New Solution): How appealing is your solution?

  • Weak: "That sounds interesting"
  • Strong: "This is exactly what I need, I'd pay $100/month"

ANXIETY (Fear of New Solution): What makes them hesitate?

  • Low: "Just need to see it working"
  • High: "Last three tools failed, can't risk it"

HABIT (Inertia of Current Solution): How hard is it to switch?

  • Low: "Currently do it manually, would love to stop"
  • High: "Team trained, 2 years of data, integrated everywhere"

You can measure these forces. And they predict success.

Why ValidContext Exists

After years of building products across startups and enterprise, I noticed something when AI coding tools arrived: the cart kept getting put before the horse.

It's incredibly easy to prompt Claude Code and have a working prototype in hours. But that speed creates a dangerous illusion—that because you can build it fast, you should build it now.

The reality: the build cycle doesn't start with code. It starts with discovery.

  • Customer interviews
  • User research
  • Usability testing
  • Market analysis
  • Competitive research

This information is critical. But it's scattered—in notebooks, recorded calls, random docs, Slack threads. When you're ready to build (whether that's writing code, creating ads, or doing marketing), you can't find the insights you need. You build based on assumptions instead of validated understanding.

ValidContext solves this: organize product discovery information and surface it at the right time in your build cycle. Whether you're coding, marketing, or creating ads—the validated insights are there when you need them.

The Real Competitive Advantage

Most builders optimize for:

  • Build speed (6 hours vs. 6 weeks)
  • Technical elegance
  • Feature completeness
  • Visual polish

They should optimize for:

  • Problem understanding (which pain to solve)
  • User research (who has this pain badly enough)
  • Market positioning (why this vs. 200 alternatives)
  • Value clarity (why should someone switch)

The builders who get this will win. Not because they build faster. Because they build the right things.

Being Signal in a World of Noise

Users don't need another task manager. They need someone who understands their problem deeply enough to solve it properly.

This is how you cut through the noise:

Not by building faster. By understanding deeper.

Not by shipping more. By solving better.

Not by adding features. By addressing forces.

What This Means for You

Before you build your next product, ask yourself:

Can you describe the problem in a way that makes someone go "YES, that's exactly my struggle"?

If not, you haven't understood the problem well enough yet.

Can you quantify how painful the problem is? How often it happens? What it costs?

If not, you don't know if it's severe enough to motivate switching.

Can you explain why existing solutions fail? Why someone would leave a working tool for yours?

If not, you haven't found a strong enough pull or weak enough habit force.

The Challenge

Before you build your next product:

Step 1: Talk to 10 people who have the problem

  • Ask about their struggles, not your solution
  • Understand the four forces at play

Step 2: Document what you learn

  • Capture customer language
  • Note specific pain points
  • Identify anxieties and switching costs

Step 3: Build with validated insights

  • Use customer language in your copy
  • Address anxieties explicitly
  • Design for the job they're trying to do

Step 4: Keep discovery insights accessible

  • Don't let research gather dust
  • Surface it when coding, marketing, creating ads
  • Let validation guide every build decision

The Bottom Line

Building is easy now. Everyone can do it. But users don't need more products. They need fewer, better products.

The competitive advantage isn't in your tech stack. Claude Code, Cursor, and v0 are available to everyone.

The competitive advantage is in your understanding. Do you know the problem deeply enough to solve it properly?

Most builders will keep putting the cart before the horse. Shipping fast. Building the wrong things.

You can be different. You can be signal in a world of noise.

Not because you're a better coder. Because you're a better listener.


ValidContext is for builders who understand this shift. Organize your product discovery. Surface insights when you need them. Build with validated context flowing to your AI tools.

  • Capture interviews and research
  • Organize by customer job
  • Surface insights during your build cycle
  • MCP integration with Claude Code

If you're ready to stop building on assumptions, join the waitlist.

Let's build the right things. Together.

Written by Doug

Published on January 15, 2025

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